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UFC on ESPN 9 gets underway just after 6 p.m. ET on Saturday back in Las Vegas, and the card will be headlined by Tyron Woodley facing Gilbert Burns in a welterweight contenders bout.
DraftKings Sportsbook installed Woodley as the betting favorite at -182, while Burns is at +150. The odds are on this one not lasting too long. The total rounds wage is at 4.5, with the under favored at -167. Woodley by KO, TKO, or DQ is the favorite at +150, with Woodley via decision next at +260.
DK Sportsbook released their betting splits for Saturday’s 11-fight card, which gives us an idea of where the betting public is sitting for each matchup. The public really likes Woodley in this one. Nearly 3/4 of the betting handle is on Woodley, with over 2/3 of total bets on him as well.
The biggest split right now is for the women’s strawweight bout between Mackenzie Dern and Hannah Cifers. Dern is a huge favorite at -400, and right now 93 percent of the handle and 81 percent of total bets are on her.
Most of the fights have handle and bets on the same side, but we do have a couple on the preliminary card with some notable splits. In the flyweight bout between Brandon Royval and Tim Elliott, 60 percent of total bets are on the favored Elliott, while 61 percent of money wagered is on the underdog Royval. Elsewhere, 70 percent of total bets for Shevchenko-Chookagian are on the underdog Chookagian, while 73 percent of the handle is on the favored Shevchenko. Both could suggest a sharp/square split on this one.
The most significant line movement belongs to Spike Carlyle vs. Billy Quarantillo. Carlyle opened at +132, but has closed to +115, while Quarantillo was -167, but has shrunk to -141. The biggest pure value change belongs to Roosevelt Roberts vs. Brok Weaver. Roberts was a huge -305 favorite, but moved 30 cents to -335, while Weaver opened at +225 and is now at +255. The public loves Carlyle and really doesn’t like Weaver.
Here’s a full rundown of betting splits as of Friday morning, the day before the event.
UFC on ESPN 9 betting splits
| Fighter | Opening odds | Thu 3:30pm odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fighter | Opening odds | Thu 3:30pm odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Mackenzie Dern | -400 | -400 | 93% | 81% |
| Hannah Cifers | +295 | +295 | 7% | 19% |
| Jamahal Hill | -143 | -129 | 83% | 60% |
| Klidson De Abreu | +115 | +105 | 17% | 40% |
| Roosevelt Roberts | -305 | -335 | 80% | 78% |
| Brok Weaver | +225 | +255 | 20% | 22% |
| Casey Kenney | -305 | -278 | 83% | 75% |
| Louis Smolka | +225 | +215 | 17% | 25% |
| Vince Morales | -103 | -112 | 59% | 43% |
| Chris Gutierez | -125 | -112 | 41% | 57% |
| Antonina Shevchenko | -150 | -141 | 73% | 59% |
| Katlyn Chookagian | +120 | +115 | 27% | 70% |
| Spike Carlyle | +132 | +115 | 90% | 53% |
| Billy Quarantillo | -167 | -141 | 10% | 47% |
| Brandon Royval | +150 | +145 | 61% | 40% |
| Tim Elliott | -190 | -182 | 39% | 60% |
| Daniel Rodriguez | -336 | -335 | 86% | 81% |
| Gabriel Green | +250 | +250 | 14% | 19% |
| Blagoy Ivanov | -106 | -112 | 50% | 49% |
| Augusto Sakai | -121 | -112 | 50% | 51% |
| Tyron Woodley | -182 | -182 | 74% | 68% |
| Gilbert Burns | +150 | +150 | 26% | 32% |
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