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Breaking down early Saints point spreads

The Saints full schedule is out for the 2020 season. DraftKings Sportsbook has released point spreads for Week 1 and beyond. We break down the early odds.

Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints runs back out to the field during the third quarter of a football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on November 17, 2019 in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

The NFL released the 2020 schedule and the New Orleans Saints open their Super Bowl hopes with a huge divisional home game against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. The Saints suddenly find themselves behind the Bucs in NFC South odds, +110 to Tampa’s +105. New Orleans’ preseason win total is installed at 10 with -110 odds on both the over and under.

DraftKings Sportsbook posted all the Week 1 point spreads the evening of the schedule release, and they have since added nearly 100 additional games throughout the season. DK does big business in New Jersey and Colorado, so it is no surprise they have all 16 lines for the Giants, Jets, Eagles, and Broncos. However, they have multiple lines for other teams as well. For the Saints, we get six additional lines, including prime time games against the Packers and Bucs, and home games against the 49ers and Vikings.

Point spreads

Week 1: vs. Buccaneers (-4)
Week 3: SNF vs. Packers (-6.5)
Week 9: SNF @ Buccaneers (+2.5)
Week 10: vs. 49ers (-2.5)
Week 12: @ Broncos (-3.5)
Week 14: @ Eagles (-1.5)
Week 16: vs. Vikings (-6)

Most likely cover

Drew Brees and company have a good shot at topping the Broncos on the road at -3.5. Denver lost its best cornerback to the Chargers and will have to deal with an aerial attack led by Michael Thomas. Denver upgraded its offense with wide receiver depth and a new running back, but it isn’t close to keeping up with the Saints. The Broncos are the team in this group with the worst playoff chances.

Most likely fail to cover

The Saints’ Week 9 matchup on the road against the Buccaneers at +2.5 could be tough. They two teams will play in the season opener, but Tampa Bay will get a chance to let Brady, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Rob Gronkowski mesh by the time the season is halfway through.

Line most likely to change

New Orleans is the underdog in only one of these games, and its Week 9 matchup against the Bucs is a game that could go either way. While the Buccaneers could pick up steam as the season goes on, there’s also a chance they don’t live up to the hype against a team that’s won three straight NFC South titles.

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