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Update: Drew Dober defeats Alexander Hernandez by TKO at 4:25 of the second round. Dober was -167 to win the fight, and +240 to win by knockout.
A lightweight matchup of two fighters in need a victory, Alexander Hernandez takes on Drew Dober at UFC Jacksonville on Wednesday night at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena.
Hernandez is ranked #15 in the lightweight division, and is 11-2 in his MMA career, despite his loss to Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone last January. Dober is a 32-year-old southpaw that has been with UFC since 2008, sporting a 9-5 record in that time.
This is the most even matchup by the odds on the card with Hernandez paying exactly even money, and the slightly favored Dober is will cost you $125 to win $100. But for the bettors, it’s no contest: Dober is drawing 53% of the bets and a whopping 72% of the dollars to be the victor. There also might be some value in Dober to win by KO or TKO: he averages less than one takedown per fight, but is +240 to stop Hernandez via fists to the face.
Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Alex Hernandez vs. Drew Dober at UFC Fight Night on ESPN+ on May 13th.
Hernandez vs. Dober UFC Fight Night odds
| Info | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Info | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober |
| Record | 11-2 | 22-9, 1 NC |
| ML Odds | +100 | -125 |
| To Go the Distance | Yes (-139) | No (+105) |
| Win by KO, TKO, or DQ | +550 | +240 |
| To Win by Submission | +900 | +1600 |
| To Win by Decision | +185 | +260 |
| ML Splits by handle | 28% | 72% |
| ML Splits by bets | 47% | 53% |
| By KO, TKO or DQ handle | 46% | 7% |
| By KO, TKO or DQ bets | 27% | 7% |
| By Submission handle | 5% | 11% |
| By Submission bets | 4% | 9% |
| By Decision handle | 6% | 23% |
| By Decision bets | 9% | 42% |
| Tie (+8000) | <1% | <1% |
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