Breaking down NFC West odds following the 2020 NFL Draft

The 2020 NFL Draft is a wrap and that means the bulk of roster moves have been completed for the offseason. There are still some big names on the market, but a sizable majority of the roster additions and subtractions are complete. For the NFC West, the Cardinals addition of DeAndre Hopkins was the biggest move, while the Rams were active in moving on from Todd Gurley and Brandin Cooks. The biggest remaining piece of unresolved business is what Jadeveon Clowney’s future looks like.

Back in February, DraftKings Sportsbook released divisional odds, and the San Francisco 49ers were the favorites, with the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams not too far behind, and the Arizona Cardinals bringing up the rear. The odds have since been updated to reflect the roster changes, and while the 49ers remain favorites, we’ve seen some notable changes in the numbers. We’ll break them down along with noting key additions and departures (*=rookie)

San Francisco 49ers (Feb: +105, Post-draft: +115)

Notable additions: OT, Trent Williams, DT Javon Kinlaw*, WR Brandon Aiyuk*
Notable departures: OT Joe Staley, DT DeForest Buckner, WR Emmanuel Sanders, RB Matt Breida

The 49ers divisional odds took a slight hit from February to late April, but they remain the favorites. They made their offseason goals entirely plain by the end of the draft. The team thinks their Super Bowl window is now and reloaded while maintaining an eye to the future. They had roll the dice in the wake of Staley’s retirement decision, but they landed Williams from Washington, and effectively swapped out Buckner and Sander with Kinlaw and Aiyuk. They’re rolling the dice likely relying on two rookies to a potentially significant degree, but with veterans around them, it could pay dividends.

Seattle Seahawks (Feb: +235, Post-draft: +225)

Notable additions: CB Quinton Dunbar, TE Greg Olsen, LB Jordyn Brooks*, DE Darrell Taylor*, OG Damien Lewis*
Notable departures: OT George Fant, OT Germain Ifedi, DE Jadeveon Clowney?, DE Quinton Jefferson

The Seahawks saw a slight bump in their divisional odds, and while they remain a notch behind the 49ers, they are moving well clear of the Rams. The biggest question remaining for Seattle is the status of Clowney. He seems unlikely to return, but never say never if the right deal doesn’t come along for the star defensive end. Brooks seemed like a reach in the draft, but he will step right in and get a chance to start in a defense that got a big boost with the Dunbar trade and looks like it could take a big step forward in 2020.

Los Angeles Rams (Feb: +270, Post-draft: +400)

Notable additions: RB Cam Akers, WR Van Jefferson, DT A’Shawn Robinson, OLB Leonard Floyd, DC Brandon Staley
Notable departures: WR Brandin Cooks, RB Todd Gurley, OLB Dante Fowler, LB Cory Littleton, DB Nickell Robey-Coleman, K Greg Zuerlein, DC Wade Phillips

The Rams underwent some significant turnover this offseason. On the surface it appears to be a step back, and the adjusted odds reflect that. They still have some big playmakers on both sides of the ball, so there is modest sleeper value to be considered with the Rams. The offense raised some questions last year, but Sean McVay is still the same guy he was when everybody viewed him as the latest genius of the NFL. That’s a wild card factor worth keeping in mind before abandoning all hope for the Rams.

Arizona Cardinals (Feb: +2000, Post-draft: +700)

Notable additions: WR DeAndre Hopkins, LB Isaiah Simmons*, OLB Devon Kennard, DT Jordan Phillips
Notable departures: RB David Johnson

The Cardinals were the most aggressive team in the division this offseason, and a sizable boost in their odds reflect it. The trade for DeAndre Hopkins came out of nowhere, but it gives Kyler Murray and this burgeoning offense a clear No. 1 receiver. Larry Fitzgerald remains a solid option, but Hopkins is a massive upgrade. The addition of Isaiah Simmons in the draft is not nearly as high profile, but his versatility provides for a ton of upside with the pick.

The Cardinals odds movement makes sense, but a move this quickly removes a little bit of value for the time being. A sophomore slump is something to consider for Murray and Kliff Kingsbury, but if you think they can avoid it, maybe you can find some value there.

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