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Who’s in, who’s out, and matchups for NCAA Tournament bubble teams this weekend

With the NCAA Tournament bracket getting closer to set, we’ll see who needs big wins and who needs to avoid losses this weekend.

Cincinnati Bearcats guard Jarron Cumberland attempts a half court shot against UCF Knights guard Tony Johnson Jr. as time expires in the second overtime at Fifth Third Arena.  Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

With plenty of teams still competing for bids to the NCAA Tournament in 2020, we’re here to help sort out who’s in and who’s out from the bubble, and how the schedule this weekend will change things.

For some help, we scoured the Internet for bracketologists to help us predict who will be heading to a first-and-second round city or Dayton for the First Four.

Our selectors are:

ESPN Bracketology: Joe Lunardi
CBS Bracketology: Jerry Palm

Wichita State at Cincinnati: 1pm Sunday ESPN

WSU: 20-6, 8-5 AAC, NET 42
ESPN: 10 seed
CBS: 11 seed

UC: 17-9, 10-4 AAC, NET 56
ESPN: 11 seed
CBS: First four out

Probably the biggest bubble game of the weekend, as it’s possible the American Conference will only get one of these teams to Selection Sunday. UC’s loss to UCF on Thursday night in double overtime is a bad loss at home, while the Shockers only have two Q1 wins, and could for sure use a third to solidify their position.

NC State vs. Florida State: 4pm Saturday ACC Network

NC State: 17-9, 8-7 ACC, NET 52
ESPN: 12 seed Dayton
CBS: 11 seed Dayton

Welcome back to the Last Chance Hotel, Wolfpack. That monster win at home over Duke on Wednesday put you back in contention for March, but you’ve still got a lot of work to do. A win over NET No. 15 FSU would go a long way to getting you in the tournament.

Richmond at St. Bonaventure: 6:30 p.m. Saturday NBC Sports Network

Richmond: 20-6, 10-3 A-10, 43 NET
ESPN: 12 seed Dayton
CBS: 12 seed Dayton

Richmond has zero margin for error, so a loss to the Bonnies might be the death knell without a conference tournament run. They earned a split with VCU, but are out of chances against Dayton, so their last five games of the regular season need to be basically flawless. This is the first, and the Bonnies are NET 115, but road conference games this time of year are all scary.

Stanford vs. Washington State: 8:00 p.m. Saturday ESPNU

Stanford: 17-9, 6-7 Pac-12, 34 NET
ESPN: Next 4 out
CBS: 12 seed Dayton

How you rank Stanford involves how much you account for quality wins. They beat three Q1’s, and a ton of Q2’s, but also have some losses you don’t want to see (@Cal, @Utah). They beat Washington Thursday night, and the sweep is necessary to stay on the bubble: a loss to NET 112 Wazzu would put them off the bracket most likely.

Georgetown at DePaul: 9:00 p.m. Saturday Fox Sports 1

G’Town: 15-11, 5-8 Big East, NET 53
ESPN: First 4 out
CBS: First 4 out

Their win at Butler last Saturday got them back in this position, but a loss at Providence to solidify their spot hurt. The Hoyas have no margin for error, and a drop to an NET 74 DePaul won’t help.

Penn State at Indiana 12:00 p.m. Sunday Fox Sports 1

IU: 17-9, 7-8 B1G, 59 NET
ESPN: 12 seed
CBS: 9 seed

The spread in those projected seeds shows how hard it is to categorize IU: are they the team that picked up two Q1’s in a week against vs. Iowa and at Minnesota? Or are they the team that lost four straight before that, and got pummeled at Michigan last Sunday?

There’s only one way to find out, and that’s to beat NET 25 Penn State, who lost to Illinois Thursday night and would like to stay on those top four protected seed lines.