The 2020-21 NBA season is set to begin this month and that means it’s time to start prepping for fantasy basketball. The league’s wealth of do-it-all point guards is growing and we have our eyes on a few who could exceed expectations this year. Let’s take a look at four sleepers who could outperform their ESPN ADP.
Note: Average Draft Position on ESPN can be found via FantasyPros.
Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets
ESPN ADP: 30
Murray played like a true superstar in his latest playoff run and averaged 26.5 points, 6.6 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game while shooting 50.5 percent from the field and 45.3 percent from three. While it’ll be impossible to match that efficiency for the long haul, I expect his confidence to shoot through the roof after such a dominant run. Nikola Jokic makes Denver’s offense go but Murray could have to do more as a scorer because of Paul Millsap’s decline and Jerami Grant’s exit. I think he could flirt with the top 20 at his best.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City Thunder
ESPN ADP: 36
The Thunder have spent the last couple seasons trading everything for draft capital, but SGA is clearly the future of the franchise. The third-year guard averaged 19 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 3.3 assists while playing alongside Chris Paul and Sixth Man of the Year runner up Dennis Schroeder. He should take another big step forward with both guards gone and can become Oklahoma City’s top scorer and distributor. Be on the lookout for some SGA triple-doubles this season. I think he could easily crack the top 30 with a healthy year.
LaMelo Ball, Charlotte Hornets
ESPN ADP: 72
Either Devonte’ Graham or Terry Rozier will have to more over to make way for Ball and I think he’ll be the top rookie fantasy player in the NBA. While Ball’s shooting touch from range is suspect, his passing will make him a double-double threat every night. I think Ball’s rookie year will be similar to Trae Young’s. Young averaged 19.1 points, 8.1 assists, and 3.7 rebounds per game in his first go with the Atlanta Hawks. If you knock off a few points and add a couple rebounds, you might get a good idea about what Ball is capable off.
Goran Dragic, Miami Heat
ESPN ADP: 130
It’s unclear how Miami will manage its point guard rotation this season but it’s clear that Dragic has played himself back into a starting spot. He served as a backup to second-year guard Kendrick Nunn for a large chunk of 2019-20 but came back to life in the playoffs to average 19.1 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game. Tyler Herro’s growth as a scorer and secondary playmaker could cut into Dragic’s time some, but people are far too low on the veteran. He’s far from washed.