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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Montana De La Rosa vs. Taila Santos

Montana De La Rosa and Taila Santos meet at women’s flyweight during UFC Fight Night on December 5th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Montana De La Rosa kicks Viviane Araujo of Brazil in a flyweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at UFC APEX on September 05, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

In a women’s flyweight bout for UFC Fight Night, Montana De La Rosa will fight Taila Santos Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

The 25-year-old De La Rosa enters this match as the underdog, with a professional fighting record of 11-6 and is ranked 15th in the UFC’s flyweight rankings. De La Rosa last fought at UFC Fight Night 176 in September, where she lost by unanimous decision to Viviane Araujo by unanimous decision.

She averages 3.03 strikes per minute, with 48 percent accuracy. De La Rosa almost absorbs a similar amount of significant strikes at 3.38 per minute, and defends them at 53 percent. The 25-year-old mixed martial artist can wrestle inside the octagon as she has a 1.96 takedown average per 15 minutes with 30 percent accuracy. But also possesses a 57 percent takedown defense and 1.5 submission average 15 minutes.

As for Santos she walks into the UFC APEX as the favorite, with a near flawless professional fighting record of 16-1. The 27-year-old from Brazil is fighting in the third-ever UFC bout. In her most recent match, she defeated Molly McCann by unanimous decision at UFC on ESPN 13.

Before joining the UFC in 2019, she competed at Dana White’s Contender Series, Aspera Fighting Championship, K.O. Combate, Noxii, MMA Total Combat, Xtreme Fighting Championships, and Striker’s House. Inside the octagon, Santos averages 4.09 significant strikes landed per 15 minutes and has a striking accuracy of 46 percent. She also absorbs 2.76 significant strikes per minute and does a tremendous job defending them at 60 percent.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Montana De La Rosa vs. Taila Santos at UFC Fight Night on December 5th.

Odds and Betting splits

Montana De La Rosa: +175 (31% of action, 14% of bets)
Taila Santos: -225, (69% of action, 86% of bets)

Winning method splits

DraftKings DFS Values

Montana De La Rosa: $7,300
Taila Santos: $8,900

Santos, who is the favorite to win this match with only one loss on her record, is likely the best choice in DFS. Despite her competing in two UFC matches at this point, Santos’ last fight was impressive. At an $8,000 value, she scored 96.5 fantasy points, which included 57 significant strikes, five takedowns, and five advances.

If she can register at least half of those takedowns against De La Rosa, who has a 57 percent takedown defense, it will help your lineup immensely in DFS.

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