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The No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners have plenty at stake Saturday when they host the 2-5 Baylor Bears.
The Sooners remain in control of their Big 12 Championship destiny. If they win out, they will take home the conference title, the program’s fourth consecutive under head coach Lincoln Riley. Few coaches have dominated a conference as thoroughly as Riley has since taking over for Bob Stoops in 2017, putting him in rare company in the recent history of the sport.
However, that outlook comes with some hard caveats. Already, COVID-19 postponements have forced the program into a corner. After a tilt with West Virginia moved to Dec. 12, the Sooners have no open dates remaining this year. That means any further issues would lead to a cancellation, putting any title hopes in jeopardy.
Assuming Saturday’s game goes off without a hitch, it will feature a showdown of Riley and Baylor head coach Dave Aranda. A season ago as the defensive coordinator of the LSU Tigers, Aranda dismantled the high-powered Sooners offense in the College Football Playoff semifinals, leading to a 63-28 victory for the eventual champions. Riley has the opportunity to return serve, especially with Oklahoma’s offense humming with freshman Spencer Rattler behind center.
While Baylor has largely struggled this season, Aranda just guided the program to an upset over the Kansas State Wildcats last week. Even if Aranda still doesn’t possess the horses to run his defense, he could still find a way to give Oklahoma trouble and make the game more competitive than it appears.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Baylor versus No. 13 Oklahoma on Saturday, Dec. 5 at 8:00 p.m. ET on Fox, or you can stream it via the Fox Sports Go app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Baylor vs. Oklahoma (-22)
Point Total: 61
Money line: Baylor (+850) vs. Oklahoma (-1667)
- Since 2015, Baylor has a road record of 13-14-2 against the spread (7-5-1 as the road underdog).
- During that same stretch, the Bears also have an over record of 12-17-0 on the road (6-7-0 as the road underdog).
- In stark contrast, Oklahoma boasts a 22-13-0 home record against the spread (22-12-0 as the home favorite) since 2015.
- Also since 2015, the Sooners have an over record of 21-12-1 at home (21-12-1 as the home favorite).
Betting splits
Baylor: (31% of handle, 24% percent of bets)
Oklahoma: (69% of handle, 76% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
The Sooners have done very well against the spread and the Bears still hasn’t found its footing under Aranda to slow down the powerhouse Oklahoma offense.
Pick: Oklahoma -22
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