It won’t be the prettiest of football games from what we’ve seen from these two teams all season, but it’s still football and there are still spreads and totals to be analyzed when the winless Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks head on the road to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves.
ULM has two games left on its schedule including Saturday’s matchup as it looks to improve on an 0-9 record. Considering their more than a three-touchdown underdog to a 3-7 team doesn’t exactly inspire much confidence. Take a look at all the statistics and metrics and you’ll learn this: Louisiana-Monroe just isn’t that good at the whole college football thing. It ranks near the bottom offensively and defensively in yards per play and checks in at No. 124 among 127 competing FBS teams according to SP+.
Defensively, Arkansas State is even worse than Louisiana-Monroe, but the Red Wolves’ offense actually ranks pretty well in terms of yards per play checking in at 49th in all of college football thanks to a productive passing game that averages 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Red Wolves utilize a dual-quarterback system that has been effective throughout the season.
Arkansas State won the last 10 meetings between these two teams, most recently by a 48-41 road win in 2019.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State on Saturday, December 5th at 3:00 p.m. ET on ESPN3, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: UL Monroe vs. Arkansas State (-21.5)
Point Total: 70
Money line: UL Monroe (+700) vs. Arkansas State (-1250)
- Louisiana-Monroe is 6-13 against the spread in its last 19 games and 0-10 straight up in its last 10.
- Arkansas State is 0-5 straight up and 1-4 against the spread in its last five games.
- The over cashed in six of Arkansas State’s last nine games, and Louisiana-Monroe unders hit in seven of its last 10.
Betting splits (point spread)
UL Monroe: (20% of handle, 14% percent of bets)
Arkansas State: (80% of handle, 86% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
I simply cannot bring myself to even consider placing a cent of my bankroll on a team like Louisiana-Monroe. However, Arkansas State doesn’t appear too anxious to win games or cover spreads either, so let’s take a look at the point total. The only respectable unit on the field is Arkansas State’s offense because for as bad as ULM’s defense is, the Red Wolves are even worse on the defensive side of the ball. Root for points, points and more points as we take the over.
Pick: Over 70
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