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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Gillian Robertson vs. Taila Santos

Gillian Robertson and Taila Santos meet at women’s flyweight during UFC Fight Night on December 19th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

Talia Santos poses for a portrait during a UFC photo session on January 30, 2019 in Fortaleza, Brazil. Photo by Buda Mendes/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Taila Santos will take on Gillian Robertson in a flyweight match for UFC Fight Night on Saturday, live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

Santos heads to the octagon with a professional record of 16-1, winning her last fight by unanimous decision against Molly McCann at UFC Fight Night 172 in July. It marked her first UFC win, as she’s 1-1 going into Saturday’s bout. She was scheduled to fight Montana De La Rosa on December 2, but the fight was cancelled due to a positive COVID-19 test in De La Rosa’s camp.

Before being promoted to the UFC, Santos had won 15 consecutive fights — 10 by knockout. In her two UFC fights, she has connected on just 36 percent of strikes including landing 2.40 significant strikes per-minute, yet absorbing 5.07 of them per-minute. She defends 64 percent of significant strikes and 75 percent of opposing takedown attempts.

Robertson enters the APEX as the 13th-ranked flyweight in the division and on a two-fight win streak. She has a professional record of 9-4, as six of her last eight wins have come via submission. Her most recent win came by unanimous decision, defeating Poliana Botelho at UFC Fight Night 180 in October. Robertson averages 3.44 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a 1.29 submission average in the same span. She lands 2.18 significant strikes per-minute, absorbing 2.75 significant strikes per-minute and defending them at 54 percent.

Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Gillian Robertson vs. Taila Santos at UFC Fight Night on December 19th.

Odds and Betting splits

Gillian Robertson: -112 (70% of action, 62% of bets)
Taila Santos: -112 (30% of action, 38% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Gillian Robertson: $8,200
Taila Santos: $8,000

It’s understandable to see Robertson getting most of the betting action. She’s more experienced in the UFC and has a better ground game and takes way less significant strikes per-minute. Both their DFS values are middle-of-the-pack for the slate. Santos stays at $8,000 just as she was after scoring 99 fantasy points in her win against McCann, while Robertson’s gets bumped down $500 compared to her last fight, even while averaging 79.5 fantasy points.

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