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In a middleweight bout on the main card for UFC 256, Jacare Souza will fight Kevin Holland Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.
The 28-year-old Holland enters this contest with a professional fighting record of 20-5, and is ranked 15th at middleweight. Holland last fought on Halloween night at UFC Fight Night 181. In that fight against Charlie Ontiveros, “Trailblazer” Holland won via Round 1 TKO.
Holland will be looking to win this match quickly using his striking skills. Out of his 20 wins, he has landed 10 TKOs/KOs over his career. He averages 4.68 strikes per minute with 56 percent accuracy. The Texas native takes a minimal amount of significant strikes, absorbing 2.80 per minute with his defense at 53 percent.
As for Souza, he walks into the UFC Apex with a professional fighting record of 26-8 (1 NC). The 41-year-old last fought at UFC Fight Night 164, where he lost to Jan Blanchowicz by split decision. The Brazilian fighter will be trying to use both striking and grappling skills to land a victory in his first 2020 fight.
Souza produces 2.54 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 46 percent. In return, he absorbs 2.81 significant strikes per minute, but his defense is at 62 percent. He lands 2.46 takedowns per 15 minutes with 38 percent accuracy, along with a takedown average at 60 percent.
Here are the odds and betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Jacare Souza vs. Kevin Holland at UFC 256 on December 12th.
Odds and Betting splits
Jacare Souza: -106 (43% of action, 36% of bets)
Kevin Holland: -118 (57% of action, 64% of bets)
Winning method splits
Kevin Holland By Decision: +175 (19% of action, 16% of bets)
Kevin Holland By Submission: +2500 (20% of action, 7% of bets)
Ronaldo Souza By Decision: +350 (18% of action, 10% of bets)
Kevin Holland By KO, TKO, or DQ: +450 (15% of action, 25% of bets)
Ronaldo Souza By KO, TKO, or DQ: +900 (4% of action, 3% of bets)
Ronaldo Souza By Submission: +200 (24% of action, 39% of bets)
DraftKings DFS Values
Jacare Souza: $8,000
Kevin Holland: $8,200
“Trailblazer” Holland is the favorite coming into this match, but there’s a substantial amount of money siding with Souza to win by submission. How about MMA DFS? Holland seems be the better option despite recovering from the coronavirus. The 28-year-old is averaging 80.1 fantasy points per fight and has scored 100 points or more in three out of his last four fights. If he can land a good amount of significant strikes plus get a KO/TKO decision early, that should bring you a lot of points in your lineup.
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