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How and what to watch for Central Michigan vs. Toledo

Heading into the last game of the regular season, Toledo should be able to find success against the Central Michigan secondary.

Toledo Rockets mascot Rocky the Rocket celebrates the win over the Colorado State Rams at Sonny Lubrick Field at Canvas Stadium. Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Central Michigan Chippewas and Toledo Rockets will close out their regular seasons with one final game. Remarkably, both teams were able to power through the MAC’s six-game schedule without any issues with coronavirus cancellations.

The Chippewas rank No. 50 in college football according to yards per play on offense through their first five games of the season. Central Michigan’s strong suit on offense is running the ball, gaining 5.1 yards per rush attempt which ranks No. 27 in the sport. CMU was led by quarterback Ty Brock and running back Lew Nichols III on the ground its last time out. Defensively CMU stops the run very well, allowing just 3.2 yards per carry which is 15th in college football. However against the pass, the Chippewas are among the worst at No 123 among 127 competing FBS teams.

Toledo has done well offensively throughout its season, and it should be able to find plenty of success throwing against this Central Michigan defense. The Rockets are 14th in yards per play and are even better across the sport in yards per pass attempt at 12th in college football, though the defense is nothing to get too excited about. Defensively, Toledo ranks much better defending the run than it does against good passing teams.

Central Michigan snapped a nine-game losing streak in this game last season with a 49-7 win over Toledo.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch Central Michigan vs. Toledo on Saturday, December 12th at 3:00 p.m. ET on ESPN3, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: Central Michigan vs. Toledo (-11.5)
Point Total: O/U 52.5
Money line: Central Michigan (+320) vs. Toledo (-420)

  • The point total went over in 10 of Central Michigan’s last 14 games, and Toledo overs cashed in eight of its last 11.
  • Toledo is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 games against Central Michigan but just 4-8 against the number in its last 12 games overall.

Betting splits

Central Michigan: (65% of handle, 41% percent of bets)
Toledo: (35% of handle, 59% percent of bets)

The Best Bet

The 11.5-point spread is a little high, but I expect the Rockets to still be able to cover in this matchup. It’s tough to find a reason to think Central Michigan will contain the passing game for Toledo, and quarterback Carter Bradley should find plenty of open receivers with a variety of targets as two players went for more than 100 yards receiving in last week’s win over Northern Illinois. The Rockets will go to the air on a consistent basis, winning this game by two touchdowns or more.

Pick: Toledo -11.5

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