Bowling Green will look to improve on last season, which was a year-long struggle for the Falcons. BGSU finished 3-9 overall in 2019 including 2-6 in the conference for fifth place in the MAC East division, only ahead of 0-8 Akron. In its nine losses, all of them came by 18 points or more. Second-year head coach Scot Loeffler brought in transfer Matt McDonald to play quarterback, as the two were together at Boston College. McDonald has thrown seven passes in his college career, and he will not have much help around him.
Toledo finished last season with a 6-6 overall record and was not invited to a bowl game despite hitting the six-win mark to become bowl eligible. It’s not certain who will line up at quarterback for the Rockets with Eli Peters, Carter Bradley and Dequan Finn in the mix. Regardless of who starts the game, that player will have the luxury of handing off to Bryant Koback, who returns after rushing for 1,187 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2019.
Bowling Green snapped a nine-game losing streak in this series by winning last season’s game 20-7 at home.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Bowling Green vs. Toledo on Wednesday, November 4th at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU, or you can stream it via the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Bowling Green vs. Toledo (-22)
Point Total: 62.5
Money line: Bowling Green (+850), Toledo (-1667)
- Bowling Green is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games.
- The total went under in 13 of its last 17 games.
- Toledo is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games.
- The total went over in five of Toledo’s last six games.
Bowling Green: (15% of handle, 55% percent of bets)
Toledo: (85% of handle, 45% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
As you can tell from the trends, both teams were afraid of covering spreads toward the end of the 2019 season, so we’re going to stay away from picking the spread. Toledo will win this game, but 19.5 points is a bit steep, so let’s take a look at the point total. Bowling Green’s defense was a disaster last season and nearly finished last in the entire country in scoring defense, and there’s not much reason to think it will be a whole lot better. Offensively, the offense will improve enough for us to take the over in Wednesday night’s game.
Pick: Over 61.5
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