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Last night’s Presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump appears to have left voters believing Biden was the winner. It was the last major event of the 2020 election season, and it appears to have not moved much ahead of the election.
A CNN snap poll at the end of the debate had 53% of voters who watched the debate say that Biden won the matchup, while 39% said that President Donald Trump did. The field of respondents leaned slightly more to the Republican side than does the general electorate, with 585 registered voters representing a +/- 5.7% margin of error.
And a YouGov poll says the same, with 54% choosing the former Vice President as the winner, and 35% finding Trump victorious amongst 491 registered voters.
But with so many Americans having made up their mind already, did last night’s primetime television special even matter? The early voting numbers for the 2020 election appear to be massive, but how that will affect actual E-Day turnout is yet to be determined. Over 51 million Americans have already voted with 11 days until November 4th, which is 4 million more than voted early during the entire 2016 election.
It shows enthusiasm on both sides of the aisle is huge, but the early numbers are skewing slightly towards the Democrats, though that could be canceled out at precincts the first Tuesday in November.
At PredictIt nothing appears to have changed either, with Biden still vacillating between .63 and .65 as the favorite, and the President between .40 and .42. One state where the markets believe something might have changed is Pennsylvania, where Biden has slipped from .68 to .64 after his comments about oil.
Fracking in the Keystone State is a larger industry, and Biden’s comments about the need for a shift to cleaner, renewable energy might have struck some the wrong way. Or at least those wagering on how they think Pennsylvanians will vote.
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