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With T-Wolves uncertain at No. 1 overall, how does that impact how we bet the lines?

No player at the top has separated himself from the rest, according to T-Wolves President.

Gersson Rosas, president of basketball operations for the Minnesota Timberwolves, talked to newly acquired guard D’Angelo Russell before an NBA game against the LA Clippers at Target Center on Saturday, Feb. 8, 2020. Photo by Aaron Lavinsky/Star Tribune via Getty Images

Minnesota Timberwolves president of basketball operations Gersson Rosas told that there isn’t a prospect at the top of their 2020 NBA Draft board that stands out from the rest. The T-Wolves have the No. 1 overall pick in the draft on November 18th. There are a handful of strong players to choose from, but Rosas says there is no one who has “separated himself from the pack.”

“The analysis is fair,” Rosas said told ESPN during a videoconference Wednesday. “There’s no guy that has separated himself from the pack from public or external view, but I’m very confident that as we go through this process, the talent will rise to the top and we’ll be confident about identifying one guy as the best guy, the best talented player with the most upside and most ability for our organization.”

Among the options for the T-Wolves are LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards and James Wiseman. Two of the three are guards, while Wiseman is a big, lanky 7-footer. Ball and Edwards fit into today’s NBA. Ball is a oversized PG who can make plays all over the court. Edwards is a prototypical 2-guard who could develop into a go-to scorer. Wiseman is more of a traditional big, a rim protector who can run the floor well.

Outside of those three, there are a bunch of prospects who may not make sense at No. 1 overall, but like Rosas says, nobody has separated from the rest by a big margin. This could make the No. 1 overall pick up in the air. So in terms of trying to find an edge in betting, this is the type of information that can be useful. Edwards is the the betting favorite at -325 to go first in the draft. From what Rosas is saying here, Edwards is far from a sure-thing to go to the T-Wolves. Ball is +195 and Wiseman is +785 to go first. Ball at plus-odds seems like a good bet. Wiseman is a stretch but the number should probably be closer than +785.

A few of my favorite long-shot bets to go No. 1 are Obi Toppin at 100/1 and Tyrese Haliburton at 300/1. Toppin is an undersized PF but he could fit in nicely with the T-Wolves roster. Toppin gives Minny another big to stretch the floor playing alongside Karl-Anthony Towns and D’Angelo Russell. The T-Wolves could opt against taking a guard in Ball or Edwards because they want the back court to look like D’Lo and Malik Beasley moving forward. Wiseman doesn’t make sense since you have KAT, unless you want Towns to switch to PF?

Haliburton could ultimately fly up draft boards and end up being the consensus No. 1 prospect if people don’t see much separation at the top. ESPN wrote about Haliburton and how he could be the sleeper in the top 10 this year. I think he makes a lot of sense for any team. That guard theory aside, the Wolves could just load up in the backcourt and go with a three-guard rotation, something that has been successful around the League. Haliburton also has the size and wingspan to play more of a 2-3 than a pure PG. His shooting is good enough for him to play off the ball as a slasher.

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