The Los Angeles Lakers are up 1-0 on the Miami Heat in the 2020 NBA Finals. Ben is up 4-0 in terms of player props in the series after a strong performance on Wednesday night #humbledrag. It’s cool everyone, it’s not like I forgot to bet on any of those props and didn’t cash at all. I’m here for you, I want ya’ll to win money. Drink up, be merry! So we head into Game 2 on Friday night with a lot of uncertainty which has impacted the player props market on DraftKings Sportsbook. I’m going to post some plays now and then adjust things once we get Bam Adebayo and Goran Dragic official news.
Note: Bam Adebayo (shoulder) will not play in Game 2 on Friday, per ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.
Jimmy Butler over 35.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)
If both Bam and Dragic are out, Butler will be the only offensive facilitator on the entire team. He’d been running the point for, say, upwards of 40 minutes tonight. Maybe we see Andre Iguodala or Kendrick Nunn run the point at times, but for the most part, it’s going to be all Jimmy. So I think we should see a boost in assist numbers. Butler should also see more rebounds if Bam is out. This is also a spot where, if the Heat have any shot at winning, it will be from Butler going for 30+ points. If you think that’ll be the case, this number should clear pretty easily. If we get in on 35.5 before Bam and Dragic official news, we’ll likely get a lower number. I’d guess this goes up after news comes out.
Jae Crowder over 2.5 3-pointers (-121)
I’m not crazy about this number, but again, we get it before the injury news and it looks better. Crowder nailed 4-of-7 3-point attempts in Game 1 and a few of them were before both injuries went down. Outside of Butler, Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson, Crowder is probably Miami’s best bet for offense. With Butler facilitating more, Crowder should get a few more looks from outside and if the Heat get in an early hole, they’ll need to shoot their way out again. This feels relatively safe to me right now.
Danny Green over 8.5 points (+100)
This number is basically saying, “Go ahead, bet on Green to nail 3 treys tonight.” Well, I’m perfectly fine with that. If Game 2 is anything like Game 1 — which it definitely could be — then Green should get a ton of outside looks. He hit 3-of-8 attempts and that’s all we’d need him to do tonight. It’s also good that in a blowout win, the Lakers played Green 30 minutes. It’s hard to find juice on most of these point totals, so until we get Heat injury news, Green is somebody I like on this number.
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