The Ole Miss Rebels head down to Fayetteville to face the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday, with both teams sitting at 1-2 and coming off near-monumental upsets.
Last week against Auburn the Razorbacks lost on a very controversial call that allowed the Tigers to kick a game winning field goal. Ole Miss held tight with No. 2 Alabama, but the Tide pulled away late in the game for the 63-48 win.
Ole Miss has the worst overall defense in the nation, allowing offenses to score a total of 155 points in just three games. Don’t expect another huge number given up though, as the Razorbacks have a good, not great offense. Last week was the team’s highest scoring affair, and they only scored 28. QB Feleipe Franks has gotten better each week, and could be ready for a breakout performance against a suspect Rebels defense.
The Rebs offense is the second best in the country in terms of yards per game, and are averaging more than 40 points each time they hit the field. QB Matt Corral has nine touchdown passes to just one interception on the year. He’s also able to make plays with his legs, rushing for 141 yards. In the backfield Ole Miss uses Jerrion Ealy and Snoop Conner very effectively. Each has four touchdowns, with Ealy getting the edge in total yards 243 to 179. They’ll probably have to rely a bit more on Corral than usual, since the Razorbacks run defense hasn’t given up a touchdown yet and allows just 2.4 yards per carry.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch this game Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2, or you can stream it via the ESPN App with a cable or streaming login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Ole Miss (-1.5) at Arkansas
Point Total: 76.5
Money line: Ole Miss (-125), Arkansas (+104)
- The total has gone over in four of Mississippi’s last five games
- Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS in their last seven against Arkansas
- Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in their last five games
The Best Bet
The total is probably your best bet here. Ole Miss has struggled on defense and Arkansas has gotten better each week. Plus, even though the Razorbacks run defense looks good on paper, Ole Miss was able to gash Bama for 268 yards and four touchdowns on the ground. You know Lane Kiffin and his crew are going to come out and score a ton of points, but the over is really high here at 75 and Arkansas hasn’t proven they can throw that many points on the board, even against a suspect defense.
Pick: Under 75
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