Carson Wentz ($6,200) and Kirk Cousins ($6,100) are barely separated this week in DFS salary for the playoff main slate. Wentz has battled through an injured receiving core to put together a decent season, averaging 19.05 DKFP per game. Meanwhile, Cousins has averaged just 17.69 DKFP, but is playing in a game with a higher total on DKSB. Taking into account salary along with production, let’s examine which of these two QBs would benefit fantasy owners the most.
Fantasy football analysis: Eagles QB Carson Wentz, Vikings QB Kirk Cousins
Environment is always important when considering QB plays, especially this time of year. Wentz will be playing outdoors in frigid Philadelphia, where temperatures are expected to be in the upper-30’s at game time. Cousins, meanwhile, will have the opportunity to play in a dome against the Saints.
From a matchup standpoint, Wentz has a slight edge over Cousins. The Seahawks rank 15th in Football Outsiders pass defense DVOA, and 18th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt allowed. The Saints rank 13th and 11th respectively in those statistics.
Despite the difference in matchup, the two teams have similar team totals. The Eagles are projected to score 21.75 points, while the Vikings are implied to score 20.75. With that said, the game total is way higher in New Orleans, 4.5 points more than that in Philadelphia. If the Vikings manage to keep the game closer than the eight point spread, Cousins could end up having a big day.
It is always wise to consider potential ownership in DFS, especially on a four-game slate where you will likely need to be different somewhere to take down a tournament solo. This is where Cousins sees a big edge, as he is likely going to be the lowest-owned QB on the slate. Wentz won’t be the chalk by any means, but he could still wind up twice as owned as Cousins. Especially given the game environment, Cousins is likely being well undervalued in this spot by the public.
Start Kirk Cousins over Carson Wentz on DraftKings
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