UPDATE: Zach Ertz is active.
Seattle fell mere inches short of winning the NFC West in Week 17. Instead, they will have to travel to Philly to take on an Eagles team that has been through plenty of ups and downs, but still managed to win nine games this season. Let’s check out some of the best plays for DraftKings Showdown.
Captain Obvious
Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks ($17,400)
He didn’t deliver in a big way last week (20.22 DKFP), but Wilson threw it 40 times last week against San Francisco, and should be in line for another large workload on Sunday night. The Eagles are fourth in Football Outsiders DVOA against the run, but just 16th against the pass. Especially with all of the running back injuries, this should not be a game where Seattle fixates on the ground attack. Philly’s defense is far worse than that of San Francisco, putting a big day in play for Wilson.
Captain Courageous
Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles ($12,000)
Zach Ertz is questionable for this game with a cracked rib and lacerated kidney, and there is a real chance he doesn’t play. That would leave Goedert as not just the top tight end, but perhaps the top overall target in the offense. Even if Ertz suits up, Goedert likely will see the field on most passing downs due to all of the Eagle injuries at wideout. In Weeks 14, 15, and 16, 70% of Eagle pass attempts came out of 12 personnel (two tight ends). In those games, Goedert had an 18% target share.
Flex Men
Travis Homer, RB, Seahawks ($6,800)
Homer well outplayed the newly arrived (returned) Marshawn Lynch on Sunday night, but is still priced just $400 more than him. Sure, Lynch scored the touchdown, but he also recorded just 34 yards on 12 carries, and was not targeted in the passing game. Homer had 10 carries and five targets, and played the entire final drive for Seattle. The team may end up trusting the veteran more around the goal-line, but Homer has plenty of juice to score from distance, and has a floor worth at least another $1,200.
Greg Ward, WR, Eagles ($7,400)
Similar to Goedert, Ward has the potential for major volume if Ertz sits out, but should be a stable part of the offense regardless of his status. He has seen 30 targets the past four weeks, three of those games being played with Ertz. The Eagles simply have nobody else to play at receiver. Nelson Agholor has been ruled out for Sunday, making Ward the top wideout. J.J. Arcega-Whiteside should start opposite him, but has done very little the past four weeks (three games), recording just seven targets and four catches.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is amicsta) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.