The Pro Bowl rosters eight running backs and all eight will get touches. The odds of one back getting over six rushing attempts are around zero, as this is very much a passing-centric exhibition game. That leads us to valuing receiving backs more than non-receiving backs, much like in the regular season, but even more so in the Pro Bowl.
The one minor hiccup with the receiving back take is that sometimes non-receiving backs can see a good workload through the air as well. But, for the most part, a player usually has some history of catching passes. Last season it was James Conner and Anthony Sherman. both getting three receptions. The year before, it was Alvin Kamara, Le’Veon Bell and Kareem Hunt all getting three or more receptions. In that season there were 15 targets to running backs on the AFC side alone.
Sherman was the big DFS winner last season, as he topped 100 yards and scored a touchdown. Fullbacks often get extra work in the Pro Bowl, as there is just one on each team and coaches and teammates like to see them get a little glory after not getting much in the regular season as primarily blockers. They might just break through for DraftKings Pro Bowl Showdown.
Alvin Kamara, NFC, Saints (Captain $10,200, Flex $6,800)
Kamara had four looks and two yards in last seasons Pro Bowl but 11 looks for 49 yards, including 4-of-7 receptions in the previous Pro Bowl. There’s no real rhyme or reason when a player gets limited work, but Kamara is the best receiving back going in the Pro Bowl and this is a passing dominant game. The 1-point per reception scoring at DraftKings also gives him a boost.
Ezekiel Elliott, NFC, Cowboys (Captain $12,300, Flex $8,200)
Last season Elliot ran the ball three times for 33 yards and caught both his targets for 14 yards. Elliott’s ability as a receiver gives him a shot at relevance here, but he has similar upside to Dalvin Cook, who also is a capable receiver. My preference is Kamara, with Elliott and Cook as possibilities, but I don’t see any need to stack running backs, who have low floors in the Pro Bowl.
C.J. Ham, NFC, Vikings (Captain $900, Flex $600)
in the 2019 Pro Bowl, fullback Anthony Sherman went off. His receiving ability isn’t the thing you think of when you picture Sherman, but in his career, he does have 65 receptions to 25 rushing attempts. This is the way of many fullbacks including Ham, who has 35 receptions to 20 carries. This season he caught 17 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown, so it wopuldn’t be out of character for him to catch some passes in the pro bowl.
We can’t discount Patrick Ricard either, as he caught eight passes to no rushing attempts with the Ravens this season and his coach is leading the AFC team. Both fullbacks will get touches, giving them a real chance to put up usable DK points.
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