The key to taking down any DFS contest is finding the right value plays to pepper your lineup. Value plays, quite simply, are those who dramatically exceed their value. In NFL DFS, we are always looking for the player who will triple or quadruple their salaries. For example, a player worth $6,000 who scores 24 points has quadrupled, or 4Xed, their salary. Those are the guys we want throughout the lineup. Here are our best wide receiver plays for Week 1.
Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings, $8,000: Jones made some noise this week hinting at both a contract holdout and some sort of injury situation, so keep an eye on news surrounding him leading up to Sunday. But if he’s good to go, he is in a prime smash spot against Minnesota’s Xavier Rhodes, who has seen his skills go in steady decline starting last season. Getting Jones back to his monster production games has been the goal in Atlanta the past two seasons, but could finally be on the verge of returning.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers, $6,200: The Tampa Bay passing offense under Bruce Arians should be a fantasy goldmine in 2019, as both Godwin and Mike Evans are poised to have huge seasons as the two primary pass-catchers. Godwin, in particular, looks to be on the verge of a huge breakout season, and at $6,200 he provides a decent discount for a player expected to command an oversized target share. Another fine mid-salary play is the Rams’ Cooper Kupp ($5,700), who is back from last season’s knee injury and should have no trouble finding open areas in the Carolina defense while DFS ownership chases teammates Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods.
Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants, $4,300: Amari Cooper is expected to play, but if he is limited in any way, Gallup is more than ready to assume a large role in the Dallas offense. Gallup is another receiver with the breakout tag, and the Giants secondary is hardly a shutdown group. With Ezekiel Elliott’s effectiveness also a wild card here, Dak Prescott may be forced to lean on Gallup in Week 1, making his cheap salary an easy target for a 4X or 5X performance. Another sub-$5K worth using is Jacksonville’s Dede Westbrook ($4,800), who should be Nick Foles’ favorite target this season and will be needed on Sunday to keep pace with the Chiefs’ high-powered offense.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jeffgo33) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.