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That Week 1 game against Detroit could be inflating Kyler Murray’s fantasy value a little, but the truth is he’s been a low-end QB1 or high-end QB2 at the very least so far. Murray has posted two borderline 20-fantasy point performances to go with a 25 one and currently ranks 14th in points per game in the position. Most of his damage, though, has come through pure volume and the new offensive system installed by Kliff Kingsbury in Arizona. Production comes whether you want it or not when your team is running 70 plays per game (third-most). That is why Murray has completed at least 25 passes in each of his three games, although throwing at least 40 each time. That volume, too, brings more chances to throw errant passes, as his three interceptions show. On the bright side, he already has thrown four touchdowns and has also run for another one.
The Seahawks are the team Arizona is facing in Week 4. Good for Murray that not only do the Cards run a high-paced offense, but Seattle does too. Vegas has the O/U at 48 total points, fourth-biggest mark in the slate, and with reason. The matchup will feature a fast array of plays schemed up and down the field. To me, Murray still has to have that one performance that makes a statement around the league. He threw for 349 yards against Baltimore but could get a touchdown. He stayed at just 173 last week but scored a couple of times (plus on the ground). The day he brings both yardage and score together is yet to arrive and Seattle could help it come as soon as this weekend.
Fantasy Impact: The Seahawks have yet to face a “real” quarterback. So far they’ve gone against Andy Dalton, Mason Rudolph, and Teddy Bridgewater, so it is hard to asses how good this defense is against the pass. Even with that though, those three didn’t play bad against Seattle and that bodes well for the rookie Murray. One key aspect to consider this weekend is the fact that Seattle has had a tough time preventing RBs for getting yardage on passing plays. Murray has a great catcher in David Johnson, so he could get easy points with short checks to the tailback. Also, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk have played on a WR2 level so far and should offer Murray solid options on offense once again.
Recommendation: Start