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What Week 3 tells us about the WR position and Week 4 DFS salaries

A big name receiver finally broke out, and a youngster continues to fly under radar. We break down what it means as Week 4 DFS salaries arrive at DraftKings.

Wide receiver Christian Kirk of the Arizona Cardinals carries the ball in the first half of the NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at State Farm Stadium on September 22, 2019 in Glendale, Arizona. Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images

The wide receiver went completely haywire in Week 3. Five players scored at least 30 DKFP, most of which came in the late window of games which really changed the landscape of this slate. In this article, we’ll take a look at two receivers who came away with completely different looking games and how their salary changed for Week 4. Prices come via DraftKings.

Mike Evans ($7,100) vs. Los Angeles Rams

Now, THIS is the Evans we’ve been waiting for! After essentially being silent through the first two weeks of the season, Evans hauled in eight of his 15 targets for 190 yards, three touchdowns and a massive 48 DKFP. The majority of the damage came during the first half, as he was held to just one catch in the second-half but it was a big one for 44 yards which helped set up the potential game-winning field goal. Spoiler alert: they missed.

The buzz on Evans will be high for Week 4 but maybe we should pump the brakes a bit here. The Bucs will see the Rams this week and they’ve been stellar in coverage against opposing receivers. Through the first three weeks, they’ve held them to an average of 132 receiving yards and zero touchdowns, as they and the Patriots are the only teams left to not allow a score by a receiver.

While Evans does travel for the slot at times (17% of his snaps) he splits his snaps almost evenly on both sides of the field. If it’s Marcus Peters for Aqib Talib in coverage, it’s going to be a tough day for Evans and the Bucs receivers. This is one of the worst times for him to see a salary increase.

Christian Kirk ($5,100) vs. Seattle Seahawks

Kirk is still not getting the buzz he deserves and quite honestly, I’m a bit shocked by that. Kyler Murray ($6,000) looked his way 12 times in Week 3, connecting on 10 of them for 59 yards. Sure, the output wasn’t huge but Kirk also dropped what would have been an over 50-yard reception that really could have changed his day. Still, for the salary he’s tagged with, his fantasy output is right in line.

Week 4 brings a matchup against the Seahawks, who held the Saints receivers in check in Week 3 but allowed a combined 400 yards to the Bengals and Steelers in the first two weeks. Kirk primarily operates out of the slot (76% of his snaps), which has not been a strong point for the Seahawks. They’ve had a revolving cast of defensive backs in coverage, none of which have really locked it down.

If Murray and Kirk can start connecting on some of those deep shots, that stack could end up being such a deadly combination a la Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett. Don’t sleep on Kirk and be late to the party.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.