What do we make of Andy Dalton? He’s in his ninth year as a full-time starter, and he’s been a punch line for most of that time. Yet, most (though not all) of those criticisms had more to do with factors outside his control – especially poor coaching. Now, in his first season without Marvin Lewis at the reigns, the Red Rifle has shot out with the best two-game stretch of his career, including his first-ever 400-yard game. The biggest remaining question: is this a case of legitimate improvement and a better offense, or the combination of small sample size and favorable opponents?
The matchup against the Bills should teach us a lot about the new-look Bengals. Their schedule has also been favorable, but so far they’re allowing just 15.0 points and 296.5 yards per game. Given that the Bills finished 2018 with the second-best defensive DVOA in the league, their early strength seems believable.
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A particular matchup of interest should be the Bills RBs against the Bengals defense. Since the start of 2018, the Bengals have allowed 10 RBs to top 80 yards rushing, and 11 RBs to reach at least 40 yards receiving.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Bengals at Bills
Point Spread: Bengals +6
Total Points: 44
Money Line: Bills -240; Bengals +205
Overall: Bengals 6-10; Bills 6-10
ATS: Bengals 9-7; Bills 7-9
O/U: Bengals 8-6-2; Bills 7-9
Notable Prop Bets
Point spread and total points parlay, Bengals and under +235; Bengals to score under 19.5 -115
First to score 20 points -165; Alternate point spread Bills -9 +143
- The Bengals have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last five road games.
- Seven of the Bills last eight games following a win of gone under the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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