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Point spread, total, moneyline and more for Falcons-Colts in Week 3

The Falcons have been a turnover machine. Can the Colts take advantage in Week 3? We break down some key odds numbers, including the point spread and past performances.

Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons leaves the field after throwing an interception in the first quarter of the game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 8, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

The Atlanta Falcons and the Indianapolis Colts didn’t look like potential division winners before Week 1. Just two weeks later, and the tables have turned, at least a little bit. Both are coming off of close victories against teams that were favored to beat them. And while the Colts are still a far cry from the best in the AFC South, the Falcons’ NFC South hopes have merit. Drew Brees is injured and likely out for at least six weeks and there is growing concern for Cam Newton’s health. Matt Ryan (DFS salary $5,700) and the Falcons have to capitalize while they can.

In 16 games between these two (Baltimore Colts included,) the Falcons have only won twice, most recently in the 2011-12 season. That game also took place in Indianapolis, so maybe that’s a good sign for Atlanta. The Falcons impressed on Sunday night last week with a 24-20 win over the Eagles, but they certainly benefitted from a few Philly injuries. At any rate, I’m siding with the Dirty Birds this week. Throughout his career, Matt Ryan’s best regular season month in yards per game, TD% and passer rating is September. With the emergence of second-year receiver Calvin Ridley ($5,300) and the ever-deadly Julio Jones ($7,300,) Ryan will be more than prepared to pad those September stats in a visit to another dome.

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Aside from the offense, the Falcons’ defense has been stubborn with yardage, allowing the third-fewest in the league. I don’t expect Jacoby Brissett ($5,200) to break it down. Instead, the Colts’ path to success will be through turnovers. Atlanta has given the ball away six times so far, second to Miami, and we all know the Dolphins don’t really count. If Indy can set up Marlon Mack ($5,800, though questionable) with good field position, points will appear. Even with that happening, I still have the Falcons winning with the total staying under 47 points.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Falcons at Colts

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Falcons +1.5
Total Points: 47
Money Line: Falcons +115; Colts -130


Overall 2018 (2019): Falcons 7-9 (1-1); Colts 11-7 (1-1)
ATS 2018 (2019): Falcons 5-11 (1-1); Colts 9-8-1 (1-0-1)
O/U 2018 (2019): Falcons 9-7 (0-2); Colts 8-10 (1-1)

Notable Prop Bets


  • Calvin Ridley to score a TD and team to win: +325
  • Matt Ryan to throw over 0.5 interceptions: -139


  • T.Y. Hilton with over 4.5 receptions: -134
  • Eric Ebron to score a TD: +220

Betting Trends

  • The Colts have won each of their last nine games as home favorites.
  • The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games against AFC opponents.
  • Nine of the Falcons’ last 13 road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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