:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65252784/1174266787.jpg.0.jpg)
It didn’t take long for the Jets’ season to get flipped upside down. After blowing a Week 1 lead to the Bills, Sam Darnold is out for multiple weeks due to an illness. In addition, their big offseason acquisition, Le’Veon Bell, is questionable to play with a shoulder injury. The recent news has caused a massive shift in the spread for this game. Originally favored by 2.5 points, the Browns moved to a 6.5-point favorite ahead of tonight’s game.
CAPTAIN OBVIOUS
Odell Beckham Jr. ($17,700): The OBJ era in Cleveland is off to a rocky start. One of the biggest favorites last week against the Titans, the Browns got blown at home. Even though the offense only managed to put 13 points on the board, Beckham had a decent game and was clearly a huge part of the game plan. He was targeted 11 times, bringing in seven receptions for 71 yards. Beckham comes into today with some beef against Jets’ Defensive Coordinator Gregg Williams. Odell claims that Williams tried to get him injured a couple years ago and we know he would love to get some revenge in a primetime game. I like the Cleveland offense to bounce back from last weeks disaster and for OBJ to score his first TD for Cleveland in his return to New York.
CAPTAIN COURAGEOUS
Jamison Crowder ($12,000): In all likelihood, the Jets are going to trail for most of the game. They are going to have to throw the ball playing catch and with Trevor Siemian starting at quarterback, the odds of throwing the ball downfield are almost nonexistent. This means he is going to be looking over the middle for his possession receiver in Crowder. Last week, we saw the Jets aren’t afraid to feature Crowder heavily. He was targeted 17 times and hauled in 14 catches for 99 yards. No, this is not good efficiency for real football, but it’s great for fantasy football.
FLEX MEN
Ty Montgomery ($1,400): If Bell’s shoulder injury keeps him out then look for Montgomery to draw the start and become the ultimate value play at a near minimum salary. Bilal Powell could also be in the mix although I think Montgomery would be the main guy without Bell. Ty Mont played a minimal role last week, while Powell was inactive. With all this said, we can ignore both of these cheap backs if Bell ends up playing. Bell was in on 100% of the snaps last week.
Nick Chubb ($10,000): If the Browns open up massive lead, the game script could dictate a run heavy strategy in the second half. This would be a massive benefit to Chubb after a slightly disappointing Week 1. He carried the ball 17 times for 75 yards although he is in a better chance to succeed this week. After facing a stout Titans’ run defense, the Jets figure to offer less resistance. Last season, the Jets ranked 21st in Run Defense DVOA and they are down a couple key members in the front seven. Both Quinnen Williams and C.J. Mosley are out tonight, arguably the two most valuable players on their defense.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.