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Welcome back to Week 14! Now that we’re through the bye weeks and Thanksgiving, we get a couple weeks of full Sunday slates once again. We get another solid job of salary set up at DraftKings, which makes finding values a little more difficult. It does open the door for getting creative with your roster construction strategy, including who you want to choose for stacking purposes.
The concept behind stacking a QB with his WR is simple; both players benefit from each completion, doubling the benefit of that play for your fantasy lineup. As Adam Levitan pointed out, 79 percent of the lineups that won DraftKings’ Fantasy Football Millionaire contests used a QB stack in their lineup. With the significance of stacking in mind, this article aims to highlight the best stacking options for Sunday’s main slate.
5. Deshaun Watson ($6,500)/Will Fuller ($5,500), Texans vs. Broncos
The two main things I look for in a tournament stack are correlation and total expected ownership in DraftKings contests. While Watson figures to be a popular play as the signal-caller for a Texans team that has the third-highest team total, most fantasy-gamers will be looking to stack with DeAndre Hopkins. However, Fuller appears to correlate strongly with Watson’s results. Over the past three seasons, Watson averages 0.7 more yards per pass attempt, and one additional passing touchdown per game with Fuller in the lineup. Denver is also expected to be without star pass-rusher Von Miller, which should keep Watson clean in the pocket.
4. Ryan Tannehill ($5,800)/Corey Davis ($3,900), Titans at Raiders
Tannehill has absolutely dominated since taking over for Marcus Mariota mid-way through the season. He leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt, and has thrown 12 touchdowns to just four interceptions. The Raiders are one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, ranking 28th according to Football Outsiders DVOA. Corey Davis gets the nod here over teammate A.J. Brown due to cost (Brown is $5,300), along with the fact that Adam Humphries has been ruled out for Week 14. Davis is just six targets behind Brown (27 to 33) on passes coming from Tannehill this season. This is a stack that is suitable for both cash and tournament-type contests.
3. Drew Brees ($5,900)/Michael Thomas ($8,300), Saints vs. 49ers
Brees has never been below $6,000 when playing at home. Ever. Until this week. Even against the top-ranked Niner defense, this seems like a situation to take advantage of. Brees has scored at least 24 DraftKings points in three of his four home games this season. The 49ers have a solid defense, but when you can get Brees at a discount, it’s hard to pass up.
On the other side, Michael Thomas remains the most expensive wide receiver in DFS. But considering the record pace he’s on, it makes sense to sacrifice a few bucks to pair him with a less expensive Brees. The 49ers defense has held receivers in check for much of the season, but they haven’t been 100 percent locked up. John Ross and Tyler Boyd had big days against them in Week 2, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson followed up in Week 3, and Davante Adams kept busy in Week 12. If anybody can have a big day against the 49ers, it’s Thomas.
2. Sam Darnold ($6,000)/Robby Anderson ($5,100), Jets vs. Dolphins
1. Ryan Fitzpatrick ($6,000)/DeVante Parker ($6,900), Dolphins at Jets
Yep, we’re topping this list with the Jets-Dolphins Toilet Bowl matchup. It has the sixth highest point total at DraftKings Sportsbook, and the advanced metrics are not pretty for either pass defense — the Jets rank 21st and the Dolphins rank 32nd. The Dolphins have given up the second most fantasy points to quarterbacks and the fourth most fantasy points to wide receivers. The Jets have given up the 16th most points to quarterbacks, but the tenth most to wide receivers.
For the Jets, your wide receiver choice is between Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson. Crowder leads the team in receptions by a long shot, but only has two each of the past two weeks. On the other hand, Anderson struggled to get going, but has led the team the past two weeks with 11 receptions for 187 yards and a touchdown. Crowder is $200 more, but Anderson is on a strong run these two weeks.
For the Dolphins, Parker is on a tear of late and having a career year with 53 receptions for 854 yards and six touchdowns. He and Fitzpatrick are on a roll together and face their best matchup of the year this weekend.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is amicsta) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.