I saw some chatter on Twitter (sorry if this was you and I can’t credit) that Nikola Jokic’s game log looks like a random number generator. His stat lines are so unpredictable it looks randomized. That seems like the perfect type of player to target in NBA DFS. You’re either getting 5 points, 22 rebounds and 12 assists or 18 points, 7 rebounds and 15 assists. Full throttle or full tilt, no in between.
That’s the way everyone should play NBA DFS. So with Jokic taking on the Lakers, should we even try to project what type of stats to see tonight? Here’s a breakdown of the center position.
What do we make of Nikola Jokic and the rest of the top options?
I talked a little about the Lakers-Nuggets game in my other positional sections. It should be a tight, playoff atmosphere type of game, and could be lower scoring due to both teams being competent on defense. Jokic ($8,900) will have his hands full on defense with Anthony Davis, but the Denver big man has been OK in that department. In a similar spot vs. the Celtics, Jokic dropped 18-16-10, only his third triple-double of the season. I don’t think that’s what we should expect tonight — how can we expect anything specific at this point — but the slower, grind-it-out type of games are clearly favorable to Jokic.
What about the other centers, who stands out?
Andre Drummond ($9,100) is pretty tall, so he usually stands out. The Pistons take on the Cavaliers, so I think Drummond is definitely in GPP consideration tonight. Cleveland allows opponents to shoot 48.2% from the field, 3rd-highest in the NBA. Drummond should be able to get easy buckets, so a 20-10 spot is in play, with the ceiling here being around 20-20.
Clint Capela ($7,800) is expected to return for the Rockets against the Spurs and San Antonio may not have LaMarcus Aldridge (thigh). If that’s the case, Capela is a good GPP target against a poor defense. The Raptors actually allow a ton of rebounds per game (48.5), so I think Bam Adebayo ($7,400) is another strong tournament play. Kristaps Porzingis ($6,500) is cheap and the Pelicans don’t have much of an answer for him in their front court.
How can I save salary at the center position?
You can’t! .... Just kidding, but really, the value here on this slate is still in hibernation from Thanksgiving dinner or something. Or maybe it’s just all this snow in the Northeast right now. I think Mo Bamba ($4,300) should see some run if the Magic blowout the Wizards and put up a ton of points. Kelly Olynyk ($4,100), like Adebayo, should get a lot of rebounding opportunities against Toronto. Really, a lot of the value rests in the $5-6K range on this slate, so it may be a night where you don’t try to fit in a cannonball stack of 3-4 studs.