What more can be said about the Ravens that hasn’t been already? They enter Week 16 having won 10 games in a row and an 8-6 record against the spread. However, they’ll face a Browns team that defeated them earlier this season by a score of 40-25. I think it’s fair to say the Ravens are quite a different looking team since that time and same can be said about the Browns. Lamar Jackson continues to be one of the biggest upside quarterbacks in the league, averaging 206 passing and 78.8 rushing yards per game. I can’t imagine the Browns will be able to stop him on the ground, as they’ve allowed over 30 rushing yards to opposing QB’s four times this season, including Jackson. The struggles on the ground should open up the door for Mark Ingram as well, who had 71 yards on 12 carries in their prior matchup, good for 5.9 YPC. With the Ravens as double-digit favorites, it’s safe to assume the Ravens could rack up their 11th win in a row.
Baker Mayfield produced 342 passing yards against this team in Week 4 but it’s hard to envision a similar scenario this time around. He hasn’t passed for more than 247 yards in three straight weeks against the Steelers, Bengals and Cardinals. The path to success may have to run through Nick Chubb, who ran for 165 yards on 20 carries against them. Chubb has run against tough teams already this season, logging 87 against the 49ers and 131 against the Patriots. If the Browns continue to fall behind, Jarvis Landry should be busy once again, as he’s averaging 8.6 targets over his last three games. The matchup isn’t great for Landry but he’s also leading the team in red zone targets by a wide margin with a 27.6% share.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Ravens at Browns
Point Spread: Browns +10
Total Points: 49
Money Line: Ravens -500; Browns +375
Overall: Ravens 12-2; Browns 6-8
ATS: Ravens 8-5-1; Browns 5-8-1
O/U: Ravens 8-6; Browns 7-7
Questionable: LB Chris Board (concussion), T Ronnie Stanley (concussion)
Questionable: RB Dontrell Hilliard (neck), T Kendall Lamm (knee), S Eric Murray (knee), DT Sheldon Richardson (back), C J.C. Tretter (knee), DE Olivier Vernon (knee)
Notable Prop Bets
- Over 29.5 points -108
- Over 14.5 points 1H -105
- Ravens touchdown first scoring play +135
- Ravens moneyline and under parlay +132
- Under 19.5 points -118
- The Ravens have won each of their last 10 games.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games in December.
- Five of the Ravens’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.