The landscape of the National Football League changes every week. Where we thought teams lined up before Week 1 can (and usually does) end up being completely different to where they actually end up come Week 17. But all teams are focusing on one goal, even if it calls for a season to be tanked in the meantime. Everyone is aiming for the Super Bowl. And that’s exactly what we’ll focus on here. Every week, I’ll highlight three teams that most improved their Super Bowl winning odds.
Week 11 is a wrap and we’re now headed into Week 12, so let’s get started. All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Indianapolis Colts (6-4, +5000)
The Colts put together an impressive win, crushing the Jaguars with 264 yards on the ground. Though Marlon Mack (hand) exited the game and could potentially be out for a few weeks, Jonathan Williams seems like a sufficient replacement. With the Texans getting blown out by the Ravens, the Colts jumped to the top of the AFC South via the division record tiebreaker. Their Super Bowl odds dropped from +6600 (T-15th-shortest) to +5000 (13th-shortest).
Oh, did I mention the Colts and the Texans play this Thursday for their final matchup of the season? Both teams will be on a short week as they head to Houston for what could be the most important game of their season. The Colts won the first meeting back in Week 7. A second win for Indy would add extra padding to the division lead (4-0 division record vs. Houston’s then 2-2 division record) with just five games to follow. The interesting part is that these two could meet again in the first round of the playoffs. If the Texans with this week, we’ll need a rubber match, right?
Dallas Cowboys (6-4, +2000)
The Cowboys haven’t had the most promising season, but they’re first in the division and that’s what matters. Their offense leads the league in total yards per game and ranks fourth in points per game. That explosiveness propelled them past the Lions on Sunday. And, for just this past week, they’ll be thanking the Patriots for handing the Eagles another loss as it keeps the Boys at the top of the NFC East. Dallas’ odds shortened from +2800 (11th-shortest) to +2000 (9th-shortest).
Now, the Cowboys have to revoke their thankfulness to the Patriots as they head to New England for the first time in eight seasons. Then, four days later, the Cowboys host the Bills on Thanksgiving. Now my “thankful” theme makes sense, right? Dallas has a 4-0 division record and still has one more matchup with Philly to go. Providing a cushion with those divisional games will come in handy down the stretch.
Baltimore Ravens (8-2, +500)
This is the third consecutive week that I’ve featured the Ravens in this article. They’re the hottest team in football, how could I not? Lamar Jackson (+160) now leads the MVP race over Russell Wilson (+200) after another massive, statement win against the Texans this week. It was the Ravens’ first time all season that they’ve held a team to single digits. When that comes against a playoff-caliber team, it’s a good sign for the road ahead. Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds (+500) are now the outright-second-shortest, breaking away from New Orleans (+600).
The league’s leading rush attack travels to Los Angeles for a Monday night matchup against the Rams, a team that’s allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game. As we saw last week against Houston’s defense, though, that won’t affect Baltimore. If the Ravens can keep their winning streak going, they could make themselves the top seed heading into the playoffs. They’ll need a loss from the Patriots to do so, but that’s certainly not out of the question as the Pats have the Cowboys, Texans and Chiefs ahead of them.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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