If there has been a surprising struggling quarterback this season, it’s Carson Wentz. He is currently the QB17 and averages 19.7 fantasy points per game (a lower mark than those of rookies Daniel Jones, Gardner Minshew, and Kyler Murray). Last season Wentz finished as a QB1 and although he missed a few games he maintained a great level of play during the greater part of the year. In 2019 he had a good start to the year but he’s definitely dropped the ball in four of his last five games before Philadelphia’s bye last weekend.
The numbers don’t lie: Wentz’s first four games: 241 yards, 22 completions, 2.3 touchdowns per game. Wentz’s last five games: 220 yards, 20 completions, 1.2 touchdowns per game. Translated to fantasy points, an average of 24 FP in his first four games has turned into an average of 18 FP lately. This slump has coincided with Philadelphia’s injury struggles and strength of schedule, as the Eagles have faced the fifth-, fourth-, and seventh-best defenses against QBs in their last three games. No wonder Wentz has only topped 200 yards once in those games while scoring only three combined touchdowns, adding an interception and three fumbles to that... And this weekend doesn’t look like the best to reverse course.
Fantasy Football Analysis, Philadelphia Eagles QB Carson Wentz
The Eagles are missing plenty of attacking power due to injuries: RB Jordan Howard is questionable, WR DeSean Jackson is out for the season, and WR Alshon Jeffery has missed practices earlier this week. On top of that, Philly is facing the second-best defense in the nation by hosting New England this weekend. I’m not making this up: the Patriots have allowed just three passing touchdowns in nine games, and they have intercepted 19 passes in the same span. Both marks lead the league by far, and only Lamar Jackson this past weekend and Josh Allen in Week 4—although he threw four interceptions—have been able to finish a game against New England breaking the 15-fantasy points barrier.
Wentz arrives in this game in the middle of a serious slump and Philadelphia’s receiving corps is banged up. Although the game script will probably favor Wentz’s upside this weekend (the Eagles are 3.5-point underdogs) I don’t think the game will turn into a scoring fest for both teams as a whole. Even if that comes to happen and we have a shootout, keep in mind Wentz has passed for more than one touchdown only once in his last five games, so he’s not the most booming player out there. Sit him everywhere and only consider him if you’re going for the super contrarian play and hoping for a high-scoring game—which is probably not going to happen.