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What to do with Jameis Winston in Week 11 fantasy football

Winston didn’t have his greatest game against the Saints in Week 5 but still dropped two touchdowns on them without throwing any interceptions. We take a look at his value this weekend facing New Orleans for the second time this season.

Jameis Winston of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers drops back to pass during the game against the Arizona Cardinals on November 10, 2019 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Will Vragovic/Getty Images

Jameis Winston has yet to have back-to-back games without throwing an interception this season. That sounds bad, but it is not bad. Not when talking about Winston, because Jameis always find a way to make the good side of his game outweigh the bad. Take last weekend against the Cardinals. Winston threw two interceptions and fumbled the ball once (Tampa didn’t lost the fumble, though), but he was able to finish the day with 358 yards and a touchdown on 30 completions, and even added 40 yards on the ground.

That was Winston in a nutshell. So far this season, Winston has thrown 14 interceptions in nine games but he has outdone that by throwing 17 touchdowns. Not the best ratio, but still positive. His 355 attempts rank fifth in the league and his 2765 passing yards are the third-most through Week 10. You don’t want Winston on your real-life team because you don’t want to suffer a heart attack, but Winston is a fantasy football powerhouse at the quarterback position if only because of his throwing volume. He has completed 20-plus passes in seven of nine games and has passed for 300-plus yards six times already. His floor is at 15 points this year and he’s showed the ability to reach 35 fantasy points on a good night. Highly volatile, yes, but solid enough and with above-average booming upside.

Fantasy Football Analysis, Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston

This weekend Winston faces an old foe in the New Orleans Saints, which happens to be middle-of-the-pack against QBs (they rank 17th in fantasy points allowed to the position). Back in their prior matchup in Week 5, Winston avoided being intercepted (!) but didn’t accomplish much passing as he was limited to only 15 completions for 204 yards. Even with that, though, he scored a couple of touchdowns, helping his fantasy value and reaching 19.5 FP on the day. The Saints defense has improved against the pass lately, though. They allowed 104 fantasy points combined in their first three games of the season (35 per game), but in their last four they have given up just 64 combined (21 per game).

The most encouraging thing for Winston’s upside this weekend is the fact that Marshon Lattimore—the best CB in the Saints roster—might be out. That will make Mike Evans a better receiving option and also give Chris Godwin a better WR/CB matchup. That, paired with a Saints defense that struggles a bit against rushing QBs, makes Winston (101 yards on the ground in his last three games) one of the best starters of the week in a game that has the third-highest over/under of the weekend at 50 with Tampa going in as a 5.5-point underdog.

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