The best underdogs to bet in Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season

The theme around the NFL in Week 10 was upsets. One that immediately jumps off the page is the Saints’ 26-9 defeat at the hands of the Falcons. While Drew Brees threw for 287 yards, he didn’t complete a single touchdown pass. The Falcons also shut down the Saints’ ground attacking, holding them to 52 yards on 11 carries. Meanwhile, Brian Hill stepped up for the injured Devonta Freeman, carrying the ball 20 times for 61 yards and catching a 10-yard touchdown pass.

Another surprising outcome was the Titans knocking off the Chiefs despite the Chiefs having Patrick Mahomes back under center. He certainly held up his end of the bargain, throwing for 446 yards and three touchdowns. However, the Chiefs’ defense couldn’t slow down Derrick Henry, who torched them for 188 yards and two touchdowns on 23 carries to help the Titans earn a 35-32 win.

Among the favorites that came through was the Packers defeating the Panthers at home. Aaron Jones once again led the charge, rushing 13 times for 93 yards and three touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey did plenty of damage for the Panthers, rushing for 108 yards and a touchdown. However, the Packers defense came up with a big goal line stand in the final seconds, leaving the Packers with a 24-16 win.

Moving on to Week 11, injuries will once again play a key role in several games. If you’re in search of an underdog to place a wager on, consider the following three options that could prove to be profitable.

Cardinals (+9.5) at 49ers (O/U 45)

The Cardinals couldn’t pull off a win on the road against the Bucs last week, but they kept things close. Kyler Murray took advantage of the Bucs’ suspect secondary, throwing for 324 yards and three touchdowns. Christian Kirk caught all three of those scores and finished with a whopping 138 receiving yards. However, they gave up two touchdowns on the ground and eventually fell by a final score of 30-27.

The 49ers have been one of the most impressive teams in the league this season and faced a tough foe in the Seahawks in Week 10. It didn’t help their cause that star tight end George Kittle was sidelined by an injury. The 49ers eventually fell in overtime, suffering their first loss of the 2019 campaign.

These two teams just faced each other in Week 9, a game in which the 49ers won by only three points on Thursday Night Football. The Cardinals were down by 14 points heading into the fourth quarter, so there performance wasn’t exactly indicative of the final score. Still, with Kittle and Matt Breida (ankle) both likely out, I think the Cardinals can keep this close enough, so give me the points.

Dolphins (+6.5) vs. Bills (O/U 41)

What’s gotten into the Dolphins? After being one of the laughing stocks of the league, they’ve now pulled off back-to-back wins. Granted, one came against the Jets and the other came last week against a Colts team that was missing Jacoby Brissett (knee), but that’s two wins none the less. It was their defense that stepped up against the Colts, picking off Brian Hoyer three times and holding them to 12 points.

Meanwhile, the Bills are coming off of a tough loss on the road against the Browns. Their defense wasn’t exactly the problem since they held the Browns to 19 points. Josh Allen also provided two rushing touchdowns, but he couldn’t get much going through the air, leaving them to finish with just 16 points.

The last time these two teams met, the Bills pulled off a 10-point win in Buffalo. However, the Dolphins covered the spread, which they have done in each of their last five games. Can the Dolphins win this outright? Being at home certainly helps their cause, but I think the Bills will emerge victorious. However, with the Dolphins improved play of late, I’ll take the points.

Texans (+4) at Ravens (O/U 51.5)

Another one of the favorites who came through in a big way during Week 10 was the Ravens. They thoroughly dominated the Bengals on their way to a 36-point victory. Lamar Jackson could not be stopped, finishing the game with three touchdown passes and another score on the ground. Meanwhile, their defense held quarterback Ryan Finley to 167 yards, one touchdown and one interception in his first career start.

The Texans will come into this game well rested since they just had their bye. This will be one of the marquee matchups of the week with the Texans sitting at 6-3 and the Ravens sporting a 7-2 record. The Texans have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the league, but their offense can hang with anyone. The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Ravens’ last seven games at M&T Stadium, so taking a chance on the Texans and the points might not be a crazy idea.

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