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Top targets, game stack, lineup notes for DraftKings tournaments on November 13th

Sorting through the value created by Anthony Davis, Joel Embiid sitting will be make-or-break. We take you through how to approach tonight’s seven-game slate.

Houston Rockets guard James Harden reacts after scoring against the Chicago Bulls during the first half at United Center. Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Man, I love being a turtle. Wait, no, I’m not a turtle. But I do like turtles. Who doesn’t? Cowabunga!

What I have actually said before and I’ll say again is: Man, it’s nice we’ve got big injury news this long before lock.

If you haven’t been stuck watching Disney+ all day — I just crushed End Game and The Mandolorian — then you are aware that Anthony Davis (ribs, shoulder) and Joel Embiid (rest) will not be playing tonight for the Lakers and Sixers, respectively. This creates two very interesting spots on DraftKings in two very different game environments. I’ll also mention we could see Paul George’s return to the court in his Clippers debut tonight as well, but first let’s focus on AD and Biid.

Editor’s Note: Paul George (shoulder) has been ruled out for tonight’s game vs. the Rockets.

How to Approach the Top Injuries

It’s pretty simple on the Lakers side. Play LeBron James.

King James will have the team all to himself — he even doesn’t have to deal with Rajon Rondo taking away assists and ball-handling duties. So we’re getting full-blown Point James tonight. At $10,700, that price is very enticing and I talked about LeBron being a cash-game staple. I also think he’ll garner big ownership in GPPs on DK. The line on Lakers-Warriors has opened at over -12.5 for LA and is now down to -8. If the Dubs can keep it close, LeBron should see big minutes with massive usage. He’ll be Chalky Studebaker, but he could also break the slate.

As far as value, I’ve talked a lot about Kyle Kuzma ($4,100) and how his price dropped for no apparent reason. I think he’s the most likely candidate to start in place of Davis and will also garner high ownership. The GPP pivots are JaVale McGee ($3,700) and Dwight Howard ($4,300). I’ll lean Dwight here, only because he’s getting more consistent playing time, but JaVale has a high usage rate when he’s on the court. So a few extra minutes could mean a big return on value.

The Sixers situation isn’t as simple as it looks.

Embiid being out would usually mean Ben Simmons ($6,800) is chalk. Tonight it is sort of shaping out that way, but I’m a bit cautious with the Sixers on the second of a back-to-back on the road in Orlando. The Magic are a decent defensive team and Simmons just came back from injury — though he didn’t seem limited much. The big thing is this price. If Simmons is going to play 30+ minutes at sub-$7K he could be the top value of the slate. I think he’s more of a GPP play, as are most of Philly’s lineup.

If the game-script and environment weren’t so toxic, I’d say Al Horford ($5,900), Tobias Harris ($6,700) and even Josh Richardson ($5,200) are all pretty decent cash options. I think Horford and Harris are better for GPPs, though. Harris has been in a scoring slump and hasn’t eclipsed 16 points in four straight games. We’ve got a bit of a revenge spot, so my judgement is blinded a bit here. Horford is much safer for cash, but would have a decent ceiling with Embiid out for GPPs.

If we’re paying down, I think Furkan Korkmaz ($4,100) is a great tournament option. He should be more involved on offense and should stick in the starting lineup if Horford shifts to center and Harris starts at PF. Either way, Furkan should see 30+ minutes.

Now that that’s out of the way, let’s look at some high-priced tournament options.

James Harden, HOU vs. LAC, $11,700

The great thing about this slate is, with all the injuries it should be very easy to fit in James Harden. He’s the highest priced player on DraftKings, but that isn’t anything new. Harden is on another one of his scoring binges, topping 62 DKFP in each of the past four games.

Sure, Russell Westbrook ($8,900) is still around, but with Eric Gordon (knee) out, there are plenty of shots for both studs. We may even be able to get The Beard on lowish ownership with most lineups opting to pay up for LeBron.

Damian Lillard, POR vs. TOR, $9,200

Dame is a gamer. I think that’s what makes him appealing in this spot. It’s more narrative, but the Trail Blazers are coming off a bad loss to the Kings last night and return home against a depleted Raptors squad. Portland is 4-7 and badly needs a win to keep pace in the Western Conference.

It also doesn’t hurt that, ahhh, it’s Dame we’re talking about. He’s going to play big minutes no matter what. He’s going to get high usage. The line on DK Sportsbook is almost a pick-em at this point, so a competitive atmosphere for Dame seems ideal.

D’Angelo Russell, GSW at LAL, $8,100

I think D’LO is the best tournament play on the slate. It’s a nice mix of narrative and actual DFS appeal. With all the injuries Golden State has dealt with, Russell is back in the same situation he appeared to be in while with Brooklyn. The go-to scoring option on a bad team that plays up in pace. D’LO has scored at least 30 points in four straight games, including a 52-point outburtst vs. the T-Wolves last week. That’s the type of ceiling game we’re looking at.

The narrative is also juicy. The Lakers traded Russell to Brooklyn and now he’s with the Warriors. Usually it would be alongside Steph Curry and Klay Thompson, but both are injured and Russell has to come through if the Dubs want to have any chance at the playoffs. Russell’s ownership will be manageable compared to LeBron, Harden, Russ and Kawhi Leonard (if he plays), and I think DLO has just as high a ceiling.

Jayson Tatum, BOS vs. WAS, $7,500

This is more feel than anything, but I think Tatum bounces back tonight vs. the Wizards. Tatum is coming off a 1-for-18 performance vs. the Mavericks with Gordon Hayward (hand) sidelined. I don’t think we have to worry about that happening again, the kid is resilient. Plus, Washington is the matchup we’re looking for: high pace of play and absolutely zero defense. Coach Brad Stevens has no choice but to ride his starters, particularly if Daniel Theis is ruled out. Tatum should be locked into 30+ minutes in a great matchup. Don’t worry too much about game script here.

Other options to consider: Kawhi Leonard, LAC at HOU, $9,700; Nikola Vucevic, ORL vs. PHI, $8,300; Lou Williams, LAC at HOU, $7,200; LaMarcu Aldridge, SAS at MIN, $6,600

Top Game Stack: Clippers at Rockets (O/U 233.5)

I could get cute and tell you to look at Wizards-Celtics or Spurs-T-Wolves, but nope, going to keep things nice and ugly. Well, Clips-Rockets should be far from ugly though. We’ve got a ton of narratives, a ton of superstar power — Harden and Russ vs. Kawhi and PG-13 (potentially). You can a few routes with how to approach the game stack here.

I don’t know if you can fade Harden, but if you do, going with Russ, Kawhi and Lou Will as pivots makes sense. You’d still have $4.8K on average to play around with and we all know how much value is available on tonight’s slate. I like Moe Harkless ($3,800), P.J. Tucket ($4,700) and Ben McLemore ($3,100) as salary savers as well. You could also say screw it and stack all three studs, which leaves you with $3.9K on average. Not as ideal, but also workable.

Well, that just about does it for today’s breakdown. If you have any questions feel free to hit me up @SlateBreakerDFS on Twitter. You stay classy, DFS community!

Editor’s Note: Paul George (shoulder) has been ruled out for tonight’s game vs. the Rockets.