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What Week 5 QB performance tells us about Week 6 DFS salaries

The quarterback position saw some big fantasy numbers posted in Week 5, including Matt Ryan. Steve Buchanan breaks down his performance and the potential for Dwayne Haskins while examining their Week 6 salaries.

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan (2) throws before the game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Week 5 featured some wild fantasy outputs from a number of different positions. The quarterback position was one that featured some insanely high scores, highlighted by Deshaun Watson with 44.7 and Matt Ryan with 35.9. As we look ahead to Week 6, we’ll take a look at two different quarterbacks who had vastly different days under center and how their DraftKings salary looks ahead of their matchup.

Matt Ryan ($6,400) vs. Arizona Cardinals

Ryan has been quietly been putting together a really hot start to the 2019 season. You don’t hear a ton of chatter about him but this is someone who has now thrown for over 300 yards over the first five weeks of the season. Of those games, he has at least two touchdown passes in four of them, as he was held scoreless in Week 4 against the Titans. Despite the buzz being low, you can be assured that will come to an end ahead of the Falcons Week 6 matchup against the Cardinals.

The Cardinals have been one of the defenses of choice to pick on with opposing quarterbacks thus far. Through the first five weeks, they’ve allowed an average of 24.8 DKFP and 284 passing yards, both of which are amongst the highest in the league. The 12 passing touchdowns allowed are currently in a three-way tie for the second-highest total in the league, joining the Dolphins and ironically, the Falcons for that honor. After weeks of being mostly an after thought, Ryan is expected to be one of the most popular plays on the week and rightfully so. His 26.1 DKFP average on the season puts him in the same company as Russell Wilson (26.7), Lamar Jackson (26.5) and Deshaun Watson (26.4).

Dwayne Haskins ($4,900) vs. Miami Dolphins

News broke Monday morning that Washington has fired coach Jay Gruden. Gruden and Washington management have clearly not been seeing eye to eye as they want Haskins under center. In what feels like an act of defiance, Gruden instead started Colt McCoy against the Patriots in Week 5, which resulted in a 33-7 loss, bringing the team down to a 0-5 record. With Gruden out of the mix, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the team bring someone in who has the same feelings as they do and start Haskins under center.

With a dirt cheap price tag, Haskins would likely start in what is perceived as one of the best matchups you could draw up for a quarterback. The Dolphins, who are coming off a bye week, have allowed an average of 28.8 DKFP, the highest in the league and an average of 301 passing yards. Mind you, this is over the course of four weeks, not five. Haskins didn’t exactly give us much to hang our hat on when he came in as relief for Case Keenum in Week 4, completing 9/17 pass attempts for 107 yards and three interceptions. However, they couldn’t have brought him into a worse situation with a depleted group of receivers and thrusting him into game action.

With a week to prepare and a very, very generous matchup ahead, Haskins could end up being a value at his $4,900 salary. Let’s not forget, this is a QB who in his sophomore year at Ohio State, threw for 4831 yards and 50 touchdowns before Washington drafted him. He has the talent, we just have yet to see it translate to the NFL. Week 6 could bring that opportunity.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.