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Tampa Bay is coming off of an incredibly impressive win, albeit one the team was hoping for when they hired Bruce Arians to be the head coach. Facing a 3-0 Rams team in Los Angeles, the Bucs put up 55 points en route to a road win. Sure, they gave up 40 to the defending Super Bowl representatives of the NFC, but the Rams have been one of the best offenses of the past few seasons. Tampa Bay is now sixth in yards per pass attempt and 11th in yards per play. And despite the 40 points allowed to L.A., they are still in the top half of the league in yards allowed per play.
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Many left the Saints for dead after start quarterback Drew Brees injured his thumb. But the team has rallied around his injury and fill-in Teddy Bridgewater, winning two straight games against likely playoff teams in the Seahawks and Cowboys. The key for them has been the defense. New Orleans kept Dallas out of the end zone on Sunday night, and scored on defense as well as special teams against Seattle. This team is finding ways to win games despite the reduced offensive production.
What makes this game interesting is that it is a true strength versus strength matchup between the Bucs offense and Saint defense. Additionally, who can perform better out of the weaker units (Tampa defense and Saint offense) will go a long way in determining a winner.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Bucs at Saints
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Bucs +3.5
Total Points: 47
Money Line: Saints -190; Bucs +155
Records
Overall 2019: Bucs 2-2; Saints 3-1
ATS 2019: Bucs 2-2; Saints 2-2
O/U 2019: Bucs 2-2; Saints 2-2
Notable Prop Bets
Bucs Total Points - Over 21.5 -108, Under 21.5 -121
Saints Total Touchdowns - Over 2.5 -143, Under 2.4 +108
First Team to Score - Bucs +106, Saints -143
First to 25 Points - Bucs +245, Saints +115, Tie +175
Betting Trends
- Nine of the Saints’ last 11 games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last six games between NFC South teams have been won by the road team.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
- Nine of the Saints’ last 11 games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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