The goal of this article will be to examine betting angles for this week’s NFL matchups. So not only will we identify potential spots to target, but also spots that could be traps, or just to stay away from all together. Here are some plays on the DraftKings Sportsbook that standout in Week 6:
Spot Worth Targeting: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (London)
I was able to lock this in at 48.5 earlier in the week, but anything higher than 47 feels like it’s worth an under play to me. The total is a little juiced up because these teams have been high-scoring lately — Carolina’s scored 34 or more in two of its past three, Tampa dropped 55 on the Rams. These two teams squared off a month ago in Carolina, though, and we saw the Bucs pull out an ugly 20-14 victory. Cam Newton was the QB then, but these two divisional teams know each other well.
The 34 points we saw back in Week 2 was the sixth time the matchup between these two teams has gone under in the past seven meetings between them. Then we look at the trends in London, where the under is on a 6-2 run. The Bucs are the only team to contain Christian McCaffrey so far this season, which could play a huge role in limiting the points in this one.
The play: UNDER 47.5
Trap Spot: Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, and in blowout fashion during a primetime game. If you didn’t believe in San Francisco before (like me), you should now. But that doesn’t mean the 49ers are a good bet this week.
The public should be backing the Niners, who will be on the road on a short week. There could be some potential overreaction to Todd Gurley (quad) being listed as doubtful, but Malcolm Brown should fill in fine and passing the ball will remain a priority. The 49ers will be without their fullback, Kyle Juszczyk — which actually matters if you’ve watched how they execute their running game. Two starting offensive linemen will also be out, which will hurt.
Aqib Talib’s absence gives me some pause, but George Kittle is dealing with a groin injury that he’ll likely play through, but could limit him. The Rams can’t go on a three-game losing streak, and should be the right side of this one to stay in the division race. Don’t forget, they’ll have 10 days off to prep for this one, whereas the 49ers have a short week after MNF.
The trap: SF +3.5
Potential play: LAR if it’s -3 or moneyline
Stay Away Spot: Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks
I took the Browns +5 in San Francisco last week, and have no interest in backing them again right now. The Seahawks should be a popular play for the public this week, sitting at 4-1 and coming off a primetime win against the Rams. The Browns are coming off their pathetic primetime effort, but are 2-0 ATS and SU coming off a loss this season.
The Browns need this game more, but I can’t actually back them. While I’d like to bet on the Seahawks, they’ll probably be without two starting offensive linemen (both listed as doubtful). It’s a Seattle or nothing spot, and it’s probably going to wind up being nothing.
Stay away: SEA -2
Potential play: None
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